politicsFriday, October 9, 2026event Oct 92 sources

Flávio Bolsonaro Leads First Pre-Second Round Presidential Poll in Brazil, Outpacing Lula da Silva

Flávio Bolsonaro, son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, leads the first pre-second round presidential poll in Brazil with 49% of voter intention, ahead of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, who receives 45%. The poll, reported by multiple outlets, signals a tight race for the November 30 election.

Flávio Bolsonaro, an ultraright-wing senator and son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, leads the first pre-second round presidential poll in Brazil with 49% of voter intention, according to El Comercio. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, a former president and leader of the Workers' Party (PT), trails with 45% of the votes. The poll, published on October 9, 2026, by El Comercio, highlights a close contest between the two candidates. Infobae, which published a similar headline on October 8, 2026, did not include an excerpt, leaving the specific figures unclear.

Where Sources Diverge

El Comercio provided specific percentages for Flávio Bolsonaro (49%) and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (45%), while Infobae did not include an excerpt, making it unclear if they reported the same figures.

el-comercio

Flávio Bolsonaro leads with 49%, Lula da Silva with 45%.

infobae

No excerpt provided.

The publication dates differ slightly, with El Comercio publishing on October 9, 2026, and Infobae on October 8, 2026, though both are within the same week.

el-comercio

Published on 2026-10-09T03:04:12.000Z.

infobae

Published on 2026-10-08T22:16:12.000Z.

Timelines

Sources

IndependentEl ComercioOct 9, 07:04 AM
Bolsonaro leads first pre-second round presidential poll in Brazil

The ultraright-wing senator Flávio Bolsonaro leads the first poll ahead of the second round of Brazil's presidential elections, with 49% of voter intention, ahead of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, who would receive 45% of the votes.