politicsSaturday, October 3, 20266 sources

Lula's Lead Over Bolsonaro Narrows in Brazil Election Poll, CNT/MDA Survey Shows

Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's lead over his main challenger Flavio Bolsonaro has narrowed ahead of the October 4 election, according to the CNT/MDA poll. Both candidates concluded their final campaign pushes in Sao Paulo, a critical state with a fifth of the nation's votes. The race remains extremely close, with the outcome uncertain.

The CNT/MDA poll, reported by multiple outlets including Reuters, bdnews24, and straits-times, indicates that Lula's lead over Bolsonaro has narrowed. The survey, conducted as the election approaches, highlights the tight race between the two candidates. The poll was released on October 3, 2026, just days before the election, underscoring the high stakes of the contest. Both Lula and Bolsonaro concluded their campaigns in Sao Paulo, a key state with significant electoral weight. France24 reported that the candidates sought to rally supporters and persuade undecided voters in the final days before the election. The campaign in Sao Paulo was described as a critical battleground, with a fifth of the nation's votes at stake. The final push by both candidates reflects the intense competition and the importance of the state in determining the election outcome.

Timelines

Sources

PublicFrance 24Oct 4, 12:16 AM
Lula and Bolsonaro make final push for votes ahead of Brazil's knife-edge election

Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and his main challenger Flavio Bolsonaro wrapped up their campaigns on Saturday in the powerhouse state of Sao Paulo, where a fifth of the nation's vote is based, seeking to rally supporters and convince the undecided on the eve of Sunday's nail-biter election.

IndependentTimes of MaltaOct 3, 08:03 PM
Lula, Bolsonaro in final push for votes ahead of knife-edge election - Times of Malta

Lula, Bolsonaro in final push for votes ahead of knife-edge election  Times of Malta

IndependentBdnews24Oct 3, 07:46 PM
Lula's lead over Bolsonaro narrows ahead of Brazil vote, CNT/MDA poll shows - bdnews24.com

Lula's lead over Bolsonaro narrows ahead of Brazil vote, CNT/MDA poll shows bdnews24.com

WireAFPOct 3, 07:10 PM
Lula, Bolsonaro in final push for votes ahead of knife-edge election - afp.com

Lula, Bolsonaro in final push for votes ahead of knife-edge election  afp.com

IndependentStraits TimesOct 3, 06:23 PM
Lula's lead over Bolsonaro narrows ahead of Brazil vote, CNT/MDA poll shows - straitstimes.com

Lula's lead over Bolsonaro narrows ahead of Brazil vote, CNT/MDA poll shows  straitstimes.com

WireReutersOct 3, 06:21 PM
Lula's lead over Bolsonaro narrows ahead of Brazil vote, CNT/MDA poll shows - Reuters

Lula's lead over Bolsonaro narrows ahead of Brazil vote, CNT/MDA poll shows  Reuters