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Russia-Ukraine War

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Feb 7, 2022 – Oct 29, 2026

The conflict began on February 24, 2022, when Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine across three fronts. Early operations targeted Kyiv and Kharkiv, leading to international condemnation following the discovery of civilian executions in Bucha. Russia subsequently annexed Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson in late 2022. The war evolved into a high-intensity struggle involving hypersonic missiles, kamikaze drones, and strategic strikes on energy and satellite infrastructure. Ukraine launched a significant incursion into Russia's Kursk region in August 2024, forcing Russian troop diversions. By 2026, the war entered a cycle of deep-strike attrition and failed diplomacy. Ukraine targeted Russian oil refineries and logistics hubs, causing nationwide fuel shortages and economic strain in Russia. Russia responded with massive aerial campaigns, including a record-breaking drone barrage in March 2026 and the deployment of the Oreshnik missile. Diplomatic efforts, including trilateral talks in the UAE and various US-led proposals, repeatedly stalled. A Victory Day ceasefire in May 2026 collapsed within hours after Russia launched 108 drones and three missiles, including a strike on a kindergarten, just before the truce began; both sides subsequently accused each other of hundreds of violations. A subsequent Trump-brokered three-day truce in May 2026, which included a 1,000-prisoner swap, also failed to prevent continued fighting. In late 2026, the conflict expanded into the maritime and energy domains. Ukraine utilized naval drones to disrupt Black Sea shipping and struck Russian energy infrastructure, including the KINEF refinery. Russia retaliated by targeting Ukrainian power grids and thermal plants, causing widespread blackouts. In September 2026, a proposed 'energy ceasefire' brokered by Donald Trump collapsed amid conflicting accounts: Trump claimed an agreement was reached, Ukraine reported continued Russian strikes on energy and logistics hubs, and Russia's Defense Ministry denied any strikes on Ukrainian energy facilities. During this period, an IAEA-brokered ceasefire was established at the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Plant to allow repairs. Additionally, a 72-hour truce intended to facilitate a visit by US envoys expired in September, immediately followed by a massive Russian assault on Kyiv. As of late October 2026, the war remains a high-intensity conflict characterized by reciprocal aerial bombardment and localized humanitarian pauses. Melania Trump successfully brokered several ceasefires in the Kherson region, including Oleshky and Oleksiyivka, to facilitate civilian evacuations and aid delivery. While these localized truces remain in effect, broader military operations continue across the front lines. The UN has formally concluded that Russian attacks on Ukraine's energy grid constitute war crimes and crimes against humanity. Trilateral peace talks involving the US, Russia, and Ukraine are tentatively scheduled for November 2026.

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